Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.235498 5.021218 5.943556 7.114525 8.573343 10.346367 12.688042
2024-12-22 3.020787 3.950552 5.181774 6.964435 9.535426 13.198932 18.983855
2024-12-29 2.455900 3.416353 4.790270 6.960985 10.424549 15.959397 25.968317
2025-01-05 2.059276 3.001426 4.431188 6.850422 11.038885 18.404251 33.390398
2025-01-12 1.827683 2.774758 4.289028 7.014821 12.104156 21.907158 44.319202
2025-01-19 1.594390 2.499784 4.008915 6.865375 12.543176 24.360877 54.301850
2025-01-26 1.506118 2.444604 4.081142 7.355341 14.338988 30.236653 75.789325
2025-02-02 1.406838 2.352728 4.068286 7.673210 15.868094 36.139200 101.538854
2025-02-09 1.328407 2.284726 4.084863 8.050053 17.644061 43.441139 137.634841
2025-02-16 1.233690 2.172408 3.995884 8.178327 18.864965 49.828595 176.672429
2025-02-23 1.155637 2.080880 3.932887 8.349983 20.256465 57.441255 229.165698
2025-03-02 1.076058 1.975896 3.825365 8.393042 21.317820 64.590350 288.853324
2025-03-09 1.015105 1.914514 3.831676 8.802604 23.871794 79.703923 424.653490
2025-03-16 0.914273 1.760117 3.614579 8.609832 24.609401 89.032804 552.334141
2025-03-23 0.840226 1.651295 3.480879 8.605333 25.986891 102.486562 754.958958
2025-03-30 0.768235 1.536786 3.313593 8.462812 26.839879 114.547144 995.484472
2025-04-06 0.723719 1.477387 3.269807 8.674777 29.163313 137.087516 1475.312758
2025-04-13 0.664928 1.377589 3.108032 8.482080 29.800000 150.998960 1937.023654
2025-04-20 0.648466 1.374406 3.194661 9.114639 34.362837 197.101882 3449.373432
2025-04-27 0.623363 1.347021 3.212189 9.526207 38.240935 245.951009 5883.302284
2025-05-04 0.602510 1.327210 3.247125 10.015299 42.903875 312.035334 10781.183969
2025-05-11 0.572442 1.280401 3.197685 10.182063 46.027111 371.906661 18159.089760
2025-05-18 0.546584 1.241258 3.164326 10.405447 49.709336 449.163342 32862.919607